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International Politics


kalifire

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  On 1/26/2025 at 9:36 AM, steviewevie said:

Trump wants Egypt and Jordan take take more Palestinian refugees and says Gaza needs to be cleared out cause it's a mess.

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Slowly coming clear. Persuade/coerce Egypt and Jordan to home Palestinians on mass, clear out Gaza, give to Israel. 
 

This is the basis of getting Israel to accept the ceasefire, Palestine sold out. 

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  On 1/26/2025 at 7:44 PM, steviewevie said:

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Interesting to see how this plays out. Biggest exports to US from Colombia are petrol and of course coffee. If these tariffs are starting instantly, I would guess that's going to affect contracts that have already been made, so the US companies will instantly be hit with these charges - could well bankrupt some businesses. Price of coffee and petrol in the US will go up noticeably. Colombia won't be affected straight away, but new contracts will be so there will be a knock-on impact. I wonder who will blink first.

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  On 1/26/2025 at 8:14 PM, maelzoid said:

Interesting to see how this plays out. Biggest exports to US from Colombia are petrol and of course coffee. If these tariffs are starting instantly, I would guess that's going to affect contracts that have already been made, so the US companies will instantly be hit with these charges - could well bankrupt some businesses. Price of coffee and petrol in the US will go up noticeably. Colombia won't be affected straight away, but new contracts will be so there will be a knock-on impact. I wonder who will blink first.

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Can鈥檛 put tariffs on the other big export from Columbia to the USA

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  On 1/26/2025 at 8:14 PM, maelzoid said:

Interesting to see how this plays out. Biggest exports to US from Colombia are petrol and of course coffee. If these tariffs are starting instantly, I would guess that's going to affect contracts that have already been made, so the US companies will instantly be hit with these charges - could well bankrupt some businesses. Price of coffee and petrol in the US will go up noticeably. Colombia won't be affected straight away, but new contracts will be so there will be a knock-on impact. I wonder who will blink first.

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trade war over...compromises made and a solution found...going to be lots of this sort of sh*t with Trump.

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  On 1/27/2025 at 2:36 PM, Henrik said:

 

Highly unlikely. This a 24/48 hour short-term traders story. 

 

Buy! Buy! Buy! 

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There's been a lot of these weird variations in stocks over the last year where something looks either about to go on a run or about to burst but doesn't quite do it.

 

Tbf we are in an AI bubble akin to the dot com rush of the late 90s/early 00s so it wouldn't exactly be that much of a surprise for it to hit the skids.

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  On 1/27/2025 at 3:20 PM, charlierc said:

There's been a lot of these weird variations in stocks over the last year where something looks either about to go on a run or about to burst but doesn't quite do it.

 

Tbf we are in an AI bubble akin to the dot com rush of the late 90s/early 00s so it wouldn't exactly be that much of a surprise for it to hit the skids.

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deepseek have shown that it can all be done so much simpler and cheaper...without all the super expensive chips and data centres and huge salaries and hype. Great news for users, not so good for US tech companies (like the one I work for!).

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If it's real, and it looks real...then it's actually brilliant...the US tech strategy seemed to be just keep chucking expensive GPUs at it, building massive data centres that require silly amounts of power and water....US could be about to lose it's dominance in yet another sector, but not necessarily as tech companies can learn from this...constant scaling up not necessarily better.

 

Just don't ask it about Taiwan or Tiananmen Square.

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  On 1/27/2025 at 3:26 PM, steviewevie said:

deepseek have shown that it can all be done so much simpler and cheaper...without all the super expensive chips and data centres and huge salaries and hype. Great news for users, not so good for US tech companies (like the one I work for!).

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Ah I'd written this before finding out more about this DeepSeek thing. Thought it was just a general "This AI stuff isn't worth as much as we thought" thing like the end of the dot com bubble rather than whatever's going on with this.

 

Guess we'll see what happens if it is sustained this week.

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  On 1/28/2025 at 5:57 PM, steviewevie said:

So, like Trump uses tariff threats to get what he wants with trade partners....he is using aid to persuade/force Egypt and Jordan to take Palestinian refugees so they can do some cleaning.

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Off course. How else did he get Israel to agree to the ceasefire 

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